A new CBS News Poll finds that Bush leads Kerry among those who have already voted by 51% to 43%.
Among those who have not yet voted, Bush leads 49% to 46%, up from a Bush lead of 47% to 45% two weeks ago.
UPDATE [7:30PM]
The just-released NBC/Wall Street Journal poll finds a stastically insignificant Bush lead of 48% – 47%, a one point increase for Bush over the last release.
More interesting, 49% of the respondents reported that they did not blame Bush for missing explosives; 38% said they did. In addition, 24% said the recent bin Laden tape made them more likely to vote for Bush; 12% were more inclined to vote for Kerry; and 62% said it made no difference.
